Understanding the Problem PDF Print E-mail
Wednesday, 11 November 2009 08:35 AM

Do you really know all the facts in the ongoing public debate about San Jose police practices and arrest rates compared to other California cities?

Many have read numerous Mercury News articles, editorials, and op-eds, watched television broadcasts, seen loud, rancorous Council meetings, and personally know reasonable people on both sides of the public debate who have expressed strongly-worded feelings or opinions.

The essential first step in solving any problem — especially a complex, emotional controversy — is to “understand the problem” and its many interrelated topics so that everyone’s efforts will be focused on solving the problem, not continuing to argue over the question: “What is the problem?”

There are many different opinions, some of which are factually-based and some that are based on attitudes, feelings, and opinions that should be considered as part of any community solution.

Let’s look at a few new facts and discuss what they might mean:

Along with a story on the use of force by San Jose police in resisting-arrest cases (front page, Nov. 1), the Mercury News presented the bar graph below (which does not appear with the online article).  This graph shows arrest rates by racial groups but does not account for each city’s population or demographics:

As you can see from the graph, San Jose ranks second out of the cities listed in terms of overall arrests.

But when you use California Department of Finance population estimates to calculate the resisting arrest rate per 1,000 city residents, San Jose drops to fifth:

1.  Fresno 2.228
2.  Bakersfield 1.993
3.  Stockton 1.921
4.  Oakland 1.362
5.  San Jose 1.126

(For a complete table of comparative arrest data, click here.)

Of course, these numbers didn’t prevent the Mercury story from stating in the story that “San Jose charges far more people with resisting arrest, compared with its population, than any other major California city.”  Let’s hope they didn’t read that in Fresno.

Because the Mercury News graph included overall arrest percentages for Latinos, I examined those numbers using Latino population percentages to calculate the resisting arrest rate per 1,000 Latino residents in each city. This time, San Jose drops from first to fourth (see table).

While we don’t want to speculate as to why, but notice in the table that:

a.  arrest rates per 1000 and the rate of Latino arrests by population for Fresno (2.22/1.13) and Bakersfield (1.99/0.85) are substantially higher than San Jose's (1.12 / 0.72); and

b.  seven of nine Mercury News-selected California cities had higher Latino resisting arrest rates per 1000 than their percentage of Latino residents (data not available for San Francisco).

Instead of presenting only one set of numbers, which gives the reader an incomplete picture of the facts, the Mercury News — or the City of San Jose — should consider researching the causes of higher overall and Latino arrest rates as that would help us to better “understand the problem.”

Comments (5)
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  • WS

    Eye Opening

    My compliments to Mr. Rast. He made these numbers quite understandable and he made the case that the newspaper maybe wrong quite strongly. I'd like to see a response from the reporter if possible. But the results seem quite clear to me unless someone is using bad data.
  • Kathleen

    Great Job Ed!

    This is only the tip of the iceberg on this topic but I deeply appreciate your presenting factual stats. There are many reasons surrounding the arrests of certain groups and those issues need to be addressed in open honest communication with all stakeholders included. Differing cultures hold different beliefs about the Police, drinking, what constitutes a good time, how to treat women and children, etc. Until we address those beliefs and discuss the resistance to assimilating to U.S. customs and laws change will never occur. Addressing that issue alone will take some very honest and willing participants who are serious about wanting change.

    A few other aspects that need to be addressed are the perspective of youth toward the Police, generational bias being passed on to youth, using the race card to avoid personal accountability, the media misrepresenting the facts and creating great divides in the community in an effort to sell ad space and papers, entitlement attitudes, politicians caving into special interest groups, lack of inclusiveness of stakeholders in discussions, the list is endless.

    One thing remains certain; we can’t keep scapegoating the Police for the high arrests of members of the Latino community, and we can’t keep allowing one group, or the media to steer the course of resolution if any.
  • C.S.

    Good Job Ed

    Now get the Mayor and Council to read this. Maybe they'll stop helping these thugs.
  • Kathleen

    Merc Owes SJPD Apology

    "There were several verbal attempts to coax Pham to drop his knife — he had just cut his brother Brian's neck shortly before, which is why police were called to the home on Branbury Way. Then, officers discussed trying to get Pham to drop the knife by using a stun bag, and then a Taser. But nothing worked, police reports show."

    "Pham approached officer Brian Jeffrey, right arm raised in the air with the knife, and that's when both Jeffrey and officer Matthew Blackerby shot Pham to death."

    http://www.mercurynews.com/top-stories/ci_13781481
  • sergio c

    pham shooting

    Another misrepresented fact reported in the Merc about the police response to the Pham shooting was the Merc reporters claim that no CIT offficers were assigned to the call. In fact there were three CIT trained officers responding to the scene but arrived after the "priority dispatched" units.
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Last Updated on Wednesday, 11 November 2009 09:13 AM
 

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Ed Rast is a neighborhood leader who spends his free time analyzing budgets and spreadsheets.

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